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10-Year T-Note Dec '24 (ZNZ24)

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10-Year T-Note Futures Market News and Commentary

Stocks Rally on Heightened Speculation about a 50 bp Rate Cut Next Week

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) Friday closed up by +0.54%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed up by +0.72%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up by +0.47%.

Stocks posted moderate gains on Friday, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrials, and Nasdaq 100 posting 2-week highs. Speculation that the Fed may cut interest rates by 50 bp at next week’s FOMC meeting supported stocks Friday after former New York Fed President Dudley said there’s “a strong case for a 50 bp rate cut” at next week’s FOMC meeting.  According to the swaps market, the chances of a 50 bp rate cut next week rose to 53% Friday from 17% on Wednesday.  

Signs of easing price pressures are also bullish for bonds and stocks after Friday’s news showed the US Aug import price index ex-petroleum unexpectedly fell -0.1% m/m, weaker than expectations of a +0.2% m/m increase.  Stocks extended their gains after the University of Michigan’s Sep US consumer sentiment index rose more than ex... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
10-Year Treasury-Note
Contract Size
$100,000
Tick Size
One half of 1/32 of a point ($15.625 per contract) rounded up to the nearest cent per contract; par is on the basis of 100 points
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (Settles 2:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CBOT
Point Value
$1,000
Margin/Maintenance
$2,200/2,000
First Notice Date
11/29/24 (74 days)
Expiration Date
12/19/24 (94 days)

Seasonal Chart

10-Year T-Note Dec '24
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Dec Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Sep 10, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
3,799,096 (+16,376)
2,897,491 (-38,390)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
409,121 (-21,085)
1,431,226 (-1,807)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
397,284 (+50,891)
463,461 (-29,968)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
2,422,151 (+56,434)
848,158 (-724)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
174,969 (-39,935)
2,140,405 (-13,624)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
505,697 (-77,912)
168,577 (-1,694)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
113-120 +1.78%
on 09/03/24
115-235 -0.30%
on 09/11/24
+1-230 (+1.51%)
since 08/16/24
3-Month
109-150 +5.41%
on 07/01/24
115-235 -0.30%
on 09/11/24
+4-030 (+3.68%)
since 06/14/24

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Dow futures - a post for the short-term bullish market participant

We analyze pricing on the smallest of the indices - the Dow

Target pricing for short-term market participants - Nasdaq futures

We analyze potential moves into the upcoming Wednesday Fed monetary policy decision

Rate Decision, Retail Sales and Other Key Things to Watch This Week

It looks like the Fed could be considering a hefty 50 basis point cut this week, and if that's the case we could see the market move.

$SPX : 5,626.02 (+0.54%)
SPY : 562.01 (+0.52%)
Stocks Rally on Heightened Speculation about a 50 bp Rate Cut Next Week

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Friday closed up by +0.54%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up by +0.72%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up by +0.47%. Stocks posted...

$SPX : 5,626.02 (+0.54%)
SPY : 562.01 (+0.52%)
$DOWI : 41,393.78 (+0.72%)
DIA : 414.94 (+0.72%)
$IUXX : 19,514.58 (+0.47%)
QQQ : 475.34 (+0.45%)
ZNZ24 : 115-125 (-0.03%)
MU : 91.22 (+4.60%)
ON : 71.72 (+3.45%)
AMAT : 188.47 (+2.87%)
MCHP : 77.62 (+2.02%)
KLAC : 751.50 (+2.48%)
Stocks Push Higher on Chip Stock Strength and Positive Economic News

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up by +0.59%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.81%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up by +0.42%. Stocks today are moderately...

$SPX : 5,626.02 (+0.54%)
SPY : 562.01 (+0.52%)
$DOWI : 41,393.78 (+0.72%)
DIA : 414.94 (+0.72%)
$IUXX : 19,514.58 (+0.47%)
QQQ : 475.34 (+0.45%)
ZNZ24 : 115-125 (-0.03%)
MU : 91.22 (+4.60%)
ON : 71.72 (+3.45%)
AMAT : 188.47 (+2.87%)
MCHP : 77.62 (+2.02%)
LRCX : 769.72 (+2.93%)
Stocks Climb on Chip Stock Strength and Lower Bond Yields

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up by +0.41%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is up by +0.49%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up by +0.22%. Stocks today are moderately...

$SPX : 5,626.02 (+0.54%)
SPY : 562.01 (+0.52%)
$DOWI : 41,393.78 (+0.72%)
DIA : 414.94 (+0.72%)
$IUXX : 19,514.58 (+0.47%)
QQQ : 475.34 (+0.45%)
ZNZ24 : 115-125 (-0.03%)
MU : 91.22 (+4.60%)
ON : 71.72 (+3.45%)
KLAC : 751.50 (+2.48%)
MCHP : 77.62 (+2.02%)
LRCX : 769.72 (+2.93%)
Stocks Finish Higher on Economic Optimism

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) Thursday closed up by +0.75%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) closed up by +0.58%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) closed up by +0.97%. Stocks...

$SPX : 5,626.02 (+0.54%)
SPY : 562.01 (+0.52%)
$DOWI : 41,393.78 (+0.72%)
DIA : 414.94 (+0.72%)
$IUXX : 19,514.58 (+0.47%)
QQQ : 475.34 (+0.45%)
ZNZ24 : 115-125 (-0.03%)
MU : 91.22 (+4.60%)
TXN : 199.93 (+2.02%)
INTC : 19.66 (+1.55%)
GFS : 39.75 (-0.35%)
NXPI : 229.93 (+2.13%)
Stocks Recover Early Losses on Supportive Corporate News

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up by +0.20%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down by -0.08%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up by +0.42%. Stocks today recovered...

$SPX : 5,626.02 (+0.54%)
SPY : 562.01 (+0.52%)
$DOWI : 41,393.78 (+0.72%)
DIA : 414.94 (+0.72%)
$IUXX : 19,514.58 (+0.47%)
QQQ : 475.34 (+0.45%)
ZNZ24 : 115-125 (-0.03%)
MU : 91.22 (+4.60%)
NXPI : 229.93 (+2.13%)
TXN : 199.93 (+2.02%)
AMAT : 188.47 (+2.87%)
ON : 71.72 (+3.45%)
Stocks Fall Back as Weakness in Chip Stocks Drag the Market Lower

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is down by -0.18%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down by -0.35%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is down by -0.12%. Stocks today are...

$SPX : 5,626.02 (+0.54%)
SPY : 562.01 (+0.52%)
$DOWI : 41,393.78 (+0.72%)
DIA : 414.94 (+0.72%)
$IUXX : 19,514.58 (+0.47%)
QQQ : 475.34 (+0.45%)
ZNZ24 : 115-125 (-0.03%)
MU : 91.22 (+4.60%)
NXPI : 229.93 (+2.13%)
AMAT : 188.47 (+2.87%)
ON : 71.72 (+3.45%)
KLAC : 751.50 (+2.48%)
Soaking up the T-Bill Spill: Using Treasury Bill Futures to Hedge Rate Cuts

Find out how market participants can use CME Group T-Bill futures to hedge against potential U.S. interest rate hikes with this article.

Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Buy Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 115-305
2nd Resistance Point 115-245
1st Resistance Point 115-190
Last Price 115-125
1st Support Level 115-075
2nd Support Level 115-015
3rd Support Level 114-280

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52-Week High 115-235
Last Price 115-125
Fibonacci 61.8% 112-250
Fibonacci 50% 111-280
Fibonacci 38.2% 110-305
52-Week Low 108-000

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