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Natural Gas Apr '25 (NGJ25)

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Natural Gas Futures Market News and Commentary

Nat-Gas Prices Fall on Elevated US Inventories

August Nymex natural gas (NGQ24) on Friday closed down by -0.084 (-3.13%).  

Aug nat-gas prices Friday extended this week's decline to a 3-1/2 week low.  Elevated US nat-gas inventories are pressuring prices.  As of June 21, nat-gas inventories were +20.6% above their 5-year seasonal average, signaling ample nat-gas supplies.  

Losses in nat-gas prices Friday were limited by forecasts for hotter US temperatures, which will boost nat-gas demand from electricity providers to run air-conditioning.   NatGasWeather said Friday that weather models were showing hotter-than-normal weather for most of the US from July 5-12.

The outlook for hot summer temperatures in the US is a bullish factor for nat-gas prices.  The National Weather Service (NWS) said on June 11 that "the vast majority of the lower 48 US states could see above-average temperatures for the next three months, and for a good portion of states, a hotter-than-normal summer is the most likely scenario."

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Contract Specifications

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Contract
Natural Gas
Contract Size
10,000 MMBtu (million British thermal units)
Tick Size
0.001 per MMBtu ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
5:00p.m. - 4:00p.m. (Sun-Fri) (RTH 8:00a.m. - 1:30p.m.) (Settles 1:30p.m.) CST
Exchange
NYMEX
Point Value
$10,000
Margin/Maintenance
$3,204/2,913
First Notice Date
03/28/25 (270 days)
Expiration Date
03/27/25 (269 days)

Seasonal Chart

Natural Gas Apr '25
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Apr Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Jun 25, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
557,424 (+1,977)
481,984 (+17,373)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
255,877 (-4,526)
345,139 (-19,349)
Producers - Long / Short
213,853 (-341)
314,838 (+14,174)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
204,479 (+795)
28,054 (+1,676)
Managed Money - Long / Short
208,583 (-2,434)
173,951 (+2,495)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
47,294 (-2,092)
171,188 (-21,844)
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Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
2.979 +0.70%
on 07/01/24
3.324 -9.75%
on 06/11/24
-0.018 (-0.60%)
since 05/31/24
3-Month
2.899 +3.48%
on 05/13/24
3.324 -9.75%
on 06/11/24
-0.054 (-1.77%)
since 04/01/24
52-Week
2.764 +8.54%
on 02/20/24
3.801 -21.07%
on 11/03/23
-0.551 (-15.52%)
since 06/30/23

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NGQ24 : 2.502 (-3.81%)
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Barchart Trading Guide

The Barchart Trading Guide is a Sell Signal with a Average Signal Strength.

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 3.093
2nd Resistance Point 3.071
1st Resistance Point 3.046
Last Price 3.001
1st Support Level 2.999
2nd Support Level 2.977
3rd Support Level 2.952

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52-Week High 3.801
Fibonacci 61.8% 3.405
Fibonacci 50% 3.282
Fibonacci 38.2% 3.160
Last Price 3.001
52-Week Low 2.764

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